Publications
(since 2015)
See complete list at https://www.pik-potsdam.de/members/gerten/publications.
2020
Gerten, D., Heck, V., Jägermeyr, J. et al. 2020: Feeding ten billion people is possible within four terrestrial planetary boundaries. Nature Sust. 3, 200–208. [view-only copy]
Lade, S., Steffen, W., de Vries, W., ..., Gerten, D. et al. 2020: Human impacts on planetary boundaries amplified by Earth system interactions. Nature Sust. 3, 119–128. [view-only copy]
Gleeson, T., Wang-Erlandsson, L., Zipper, S.C., …, Gerten, D. et al. 2020: The water planetary boundary: evaluation and revision. One Earth 2, 223–234.
Gleeson, T., Erlandsson, L.W., Porkka, M., ..., Gerten, D. et al. 2020: Illuminating water cycle modifications and Earth System resilience in the Anthropocene. Water Resour. Res. 56, e2019WR024957.
Zipper, S., Jaramillo, F., Wang-Erlandsson, L., ..., Gerten, D. et al. 2020: Integrating the water planetary boundary with water management from local to global scales. Earth’s Fut. 8, e2019EF001377.
Do, H.X., Zhao, F., Westra, S., ..., Gerten, D. et al. 2020: Historical and future changes in global flood magnitude – evidence from a model-observation investigation. Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci. 24, 1543–1564.
2019
Stenzel, F., Gerten, D., Werner, C., Jägermeyr, J. 2019: Freshwater requirements of large-scale bioenergy plantations for limiting global warming to 1.5 °C. Environ. Res. Lett. 14, 084001.
Heinke, J., Müller, C., Lannerstad, M., Gerten, D., Lucht, W. 2019: Freshwater resources under success and failure of the Paris climate agreement. Earth Syst. Dynam. 10, 205–217.
Schewe, J., Gosling, S., Reyer, C., …, Gerten, D. et al. 2019: State-of-the-art global models underestimate impacts from climate extremes. Nature Commun. 10, 1005.
Warren, R.F., Edwards, N.R., Babonneau, F., ..., Gerten, D. et al. 2019: Producing policy-relevant science by enhancing robustness and model integration for the assessment of global environmental change. Env. Mod. Softw. 111, 248–258.
2018
Heck, V., Gerten, D., Lucht, W., Popp, A. 2018: Biomass-based negative emissions difficult to reconcile with planetary boundaries. Nature Clim. Change 8, 151–155. [Please note our Author Correction]
Heino, M., Puma, M.J., Ward, P.J., Gerten, D. et al. 2018: Two-thirds of global food production impacted by climate oscillations. Nature Commun. 9, 1257.
Ostberg, S., Boysen, L., Schaphoff, S., Lucht, W., Gerten, D. 2018: The biosphere under potential Paris outcomes. Earth’s Fut. 6, 23–39.
Jans, Y., Berndes, G., Heinke, J., Lucht, W., Gerten, D. 2018: Biomass production in plantations: Land constraints increase dependency on irrigation water. GCB Bioenergy 10, 628–644.
Döll, P., Trautmann, T., Gerten, D. et al. 2018: Risks for the global freshwater system at 1.5 °C and 2 °C global warming. Environ. Res. Lett. 13, 044038.
Huang, Z., Hejazi, M., Li, X, ..., Gerten, D. et al. 2018: Reconstruction of global gridded monthly sectoral water withdrawals for 1971–2010 and analysis of their spatiotemporal patterns. Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci. 22, 2117–2133.
Werner, C., Schmidt, H.-P., Gerten, D. et al. 2018: Biogeochemical potential of biomass pyrolysis systems for limiting global warming to 1.5 °C. Environ. Res. Lett. 13, 044036.
Schmidt, H.P., Anca-Couce, A., Hagemann, N., Werner, C., Gerten, D. et al. 2018: Pyrogenic Carbon Capture & Storage (PyCCS). GCB Bioenergy 11, 573–591.
Gerten, D., Schönfeld, M., Schauberger, B. 2018: On deeper human dimensions in Earth system analysis and modelling. Earth Syst. Dynam. 9, 849–863.
Schaphoff, S., von Bloh, W., Rammig, A., ..., Gerten, D. et al. 2018: LPJmL4 – a dynamic global vegetation model with managed land: part I – model description. Geosci. Model Dev. 11, 1343–1375.
Schaphoff, S., Forkel, M., Müller, C., ..., Gerten, D. et al. 2018: LPJmL4 – a dynamic global vegetation model with managed land: part II – model evaluation. Geosci. Model Dev. 11, 1377–1403.
Veldkamp, T., Zhao, F., Ward, P., ..., Gerten, D. et al. 2018: Human impact parameterizations in global hydrological models improve estimates of monthly discharges and hydrological extremes: a multi-model validation study. Environ. Res. Lett. 13, 055008.
Zaherpour, J., Gosling, S.N., Mount, N., ..., Gerten, D. et al. 2018: Worldwide evaluation of mean and extreme runoff from six global-scale hydrological models that account for human impacts. Environ. Res. Lett. 13, 065015.
Krysanova, V., Donnelly, C., Gelfan, A., Gerten, D. et al. 2018: How the performance of hydrological models relates to credibility of projections under climate change. Hydrol. Sci. J. 63, 696–720.
Schmidt, S.R., Gerten, D., Hintze, T. et al. 2018: Temporal and spatial scales of water temperature variability in a polymictic lake. Inland Waters 8, 82–95.
Gerten, D. 2018 (2nd ed. 2020): Wasser – Knappheit, Klimawandel, Welternährung. C.H.Beck. Reprint at Bundeszentrale für politische Bildung and Landeszentrale für politische Bildung NRW.
Gerten, D., Jägermeyr, J. 2018: The potential impact of improved water management to alleviate water scarcity and hunger: a global perspective. In: Allan, T., Bromwich, B., Colman, T., Keulertz, M. (Eds.): The Oxford Handbook of Water, Food and Society. Oxford University Press, doi:10.1093/oxfordhb/9780190669799.013.15.
2017
Jägermeyr, J., Pastor, A., Biemans, H., Gerten, D. 2017: Reconciling irrigated food production with environmental flows for Sustainable Development Goals implementation. Nature Commun. 8, 15900.
Boysen, L.R., Lucht, W., Gerten, D. 2017: Trade-offs for food production, ecosystems and climate limit the terrestrial carbon dioxide removal potential. Glob. Change Biol. 23, 4303–4317.
Boysen, L.R., Lucht, W., Gerten, D. et al. 2017: The limits to global-warming mitigation by terrestrial carbon removal. Earth’s Fut. 5, 463–475.
Kummu, M., Fader, M., Gerten, D. et al. 2017: Bringing it all together: linking measures to secure nations’ food supply. COSUST 29, 98–117.
Zhao, F., Veldkamp, T.I.E., Frieler, K., ..., Gerten, D. et al. 2017: The critical role of the routing scheme in simulating peak river discharge in global hydrological models. Environ. Res. Lett. 12, 075003.
Hattermann, F.F., Krysanova, V., Gosling, S., ..., Gerten, D. et al. 2017: Cross‐scale intercomparison of climate change impacts simulated by regional and global hydrological models in eleven large river basins. Clim. Change 141, 561–576.
Donnelly, C., Greuell, W., Andersson, J.C.M., Gerten, D. et al. 2017: Impacts of climate change on European hydrology at 1.5, 2 and 3 degrees mean global warming above preindustrial level. Clim. Change 143, 13–26.
Clift, R., Sim, S., King, H., ..., Gerten, D. et al. 2017: The challenges of applying planetary boundaries as a basis for strategic decision-making in companies with global supply chains. Sustainability 9(2), 279.
Liu, X., Tang, Q., Cui, H., Mu, M., Gerten, D. et al. 2017: Multimodel uncertainty changes in simulated river flows induced by human impact parameterizations. Environ. Res. Lett. 12, 025009.
Irvine, P.J., Kravitz, B., Lawrence, M.G., Gerten, D. et al. 2017: Towards a comprehensive climate impacts assessment of solar geoengineering. Earth’s Fut. 5, 93–106.
Gerten, D. 2017: Plädoyer für die Aufrechterhaltung des Wasserkreislaufs der Erde. In: Rau, M. / International Institute of Political Murder (Ed.), General Assembly, 120-127, Merve.
Ziegler, R., Gerten, D., Döll, P. 2017: Safe, just and sufficient space – the planetary boundary for human water use in a more-than-human world. In: Ziegler, R. & Groenfeldt, D. (Hg.), Global Water Ethics – Towards a Global Ethics Charter, 109–130. Earthscan.
2016
Boysen, L.R., Lucht, W., Gerten, D., Heck, V. 2016: Impacts devalue the potential of large-scale terrestrial CO2 removal through biomass plantations. Environ. Res. Lett. 11, 095010.
Deryng, D., Elliott, J., Folberth, C., ...., Gerten, D. et al. 2016: Regional disparities in the beneficial effects of rising CO2 concentrations on crop water productivity. Nature Clim. Change 6, 786–790.
Jägermeyr, J., Gerten, D., Schaphoff, S. et al. 2016: Integrated crop water management might sustainably halve the global food gap. Env. Res. Lett. 11, 025002.
Porkka, M., Gerten, D., Schaphoff, S., Siebert, S., Kummu, M. 2016: Causes and trends of water scarcity in food production. Env. Res. Lett. 11, 015001.
Schaphoff, S., Reyer, C.P.O., Schepaschenko, D., Gerten, D., Shvidenko, A. 2016: Tamm Review: Observed and projected climate change impacts on Russia's forests and its carbon balance. For. Ecol. Manag. 361, 432–444.
Heck, V., Gerten, D., Lucht, W., Boysen, L.R. 2016: Is extensive terrestrial carbon dioxide removal a ‘green’ form of geoengineering? A global modelling study. Glob. Planet. Change 137, 123–130.
Bonsch, M., Humpenöder, F., Popp, A., ..., Gerten, D., Stevanovic, M. 2016: Trade-offs between land and water requirements for large-scale bioenergy production. GCB Bioen. 8, 11–24.
2015
Gerten, D., Rockström, J., Heinke, J., Steffen, W., Richardson, K., Cornell, S. 2015: Response to Comment on “Planetary boundaries: guiding human development on a changing planet”. Science 348, 1217.
Ostberg, S., Schaphoff, S., Lucht, W., Gerten, D. 2015: Three centuries of dual pressure from land use and climate change on the biosphere. Environ. Res. Lett. 10, 044011.
Steffen, W., Richardson, K., Rockström, J., ..., Gerten, D. et al. 2015: Planetary boundaries: Guiding human development on a changing planet. Science 347, 1259855.
Jägermeyr, J., Gerten, D., Heinke, J. et al. 2015: Water savings potentials of irrigation systems: dynamic global simulation. Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci. 19, 3073–3091.
Greuell, W., Andersson, J.C.M., Donnelly, C., Feyen, L., Gerten, D. et al. 2015: Evaluation of five hydrological models across Europe and their suitability for making projections under climate change. Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci. Discuss. 12, 10289–10330.
Kundzewicz, Z.W., Gerten, D. 2015: Grand challenges related to assessment of climate change impacts on freshwater resources. J. Hydrol. Eng. 20, A4014011-10–A4014011-10.
Biewald, A., Kowarsch, M., Lotze-Campen, H., Gerten, D. 2015: Ethical aspects in the economic modeling of water policy options. Glob. Environ. Change 30, 80–91.
Bonsch, M., Humpenöder, F., Popp, A., ..., Gerten, D., Stevanovic, M. 2015: Trade-offs between land and water requirements for large-scale bioenergy production. Glob. Change Biol. Bioen. (early online).
Boulay, A-M., Bare, J., de Camillis, C., Döll, P., Gassert, F., Gerten, D. et al. 2015: Consensus building on the development of a stress-based indicator for LCA-based impact assessment of water consumption: outcome of the expert workshops. Int. J. Life Cycle Assess. 20, 577–583.
Oyebamiji, O.K., Edwards, N.R., Holden, P.B., ..., Gerten, D. 2015: Emulating global climate change impacts on crop yields. Stat. Mod. (early online).
Zang, C., Liu, J., Gerten, D., Jiang, L. 2015: Influence of human activities and climate variability on green and blue water provision in the Heihe River Basin, NW China. J. Water Clim. Change (early online).
Gerten, D., Schellnhuber, H.J. 2015: Planetare Grenzen, globale Entwicklung. In: Simonis, U.E. et al. (Eds.), Jahrbuch Ökologie 2016, 11–19. Hirzel.